Contradictions, Blather and Good Old-Fashioned Flim Flam
I read the story ("Cleaning up the Point Confusion," June 11) by John Knox White. Actually I read it a number of times. There were lots and lots of words there, so it took me a while to digest it all. In summary, I found contradictions, blather and a bit of good old-fashioned flim-flam. Packing all of that in his commentary took a bit of doing; I congratulate him for that.
Early on, Knox White skewers [local resident] Eugenie Thomson for simpthought (not taking the view from 1,000 feet), actually taking a paragraph and a half to metaphorically wag his finger at her while concluding his article suggesting that we should all share our "individual valid opinions." I guess he decides what is valid, so maybe no contradiction here. Mea culpa.
Moving on, in summary, Knox White says, 1,200 houses, 340 new trips through the tubes according to the 2013 Base EIR and 8,000 new jobs at Alameda Point at some point. His reality basis is a bit iffy. Knox White suggests that the magic traffic bullet here is that 2,500 of those jobs will be held by Alamedans since 30 percent of current working Alamedans work on the Island. This works out to two jobs available for each home built. I am skeptical of the results of that correlation.
I doubt many of those current jobs in Alameda pay salaries that would allow the worker to buy a new home at Alameda Point. Based on Knox White’s 30 percent figure, up to 70 percent of the working Alameda Point residents will be leaving the Island each day for their places of employment.
If only one resident per household leaves the Island, that’s 840 more trips off the Island each day. The worst case scenario is 1,680 or more trips off the Island each day based on multiple working residents per household. How many of those trips will be vehicular through the tubes is debatable.
Will the projected 2,500 new jobs at Alameda Point be able to supply the salaries necessary to support the lifestyles of our new Alameda Point residents paying mortgages and property taxes on their new abodes? I don’t think anyone, even Knox White, can responsibly guarantee that or when it will occur.
The flim flam
Around paragraph 13, we are now assuming that 2,500 Alamedans will be working at Alameda Point based upon 30 percent of 8,000 projected jobs there, because 30 percent of working Alamedans work on the Island.
Then he leaps to "the impact of full-on Alameda Point development could even remove traffic from our bridges and tubes." Imagine that, the more houses we build on Alameda Point, the more bridge and tube congestion will decrease. I’m missing something here, or maybe not.
That being said, how will the Del Monte, Chipman Storage and Clement Avenue projects affect Island access? Stay tuned, time for my nap.
Robert Anderson is an Alameda resident.